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Daily Quiz 4/1/11

Posted By: Golden
Date: Friday, 1 April 2011, at 1:54 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 4/1/11 (Stick)

1. Clear double to me. 10 in the zone, but black has a small blockade in place, builders ready to extend it if the blitz fails, and a chance of a shot at white's ace point blot next roll. Enough counterplay for me to take.

D/T

2. 18/8 and 8/2 6/2 are my only candidates. Already ahead in the race, I want to race, and when better to make a break for it than when opp has a blot in his board?

18/8

3. Clear double. Can white cobble together 25% winning chances? He wins with the cube if black rolls 21, 31 or 32. That's 6/36 or 216/1296. He can also win by rolling a suitable double on his turn, which is 27/36 x 5/36 = 135/1296. 216+135=351>324. Take.

D/T

4. Safetying the blot, or hit/dance look like market loss, so time to send it over. White's racing chances look pretty tiny, so he'll need to hit a shot and contain it to win. I can't find enough hits here. Pass.

D/P

5. Getting hit wouldn't be fun, so not the time to be too brave. So 16/13 3/1 or the slightly brave 16/11. I want to be able to hit Black's runner, so don't want to trash my home board. Slightly brave seems worth the risk.

16/11

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