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Daily Quiz 4/1/11

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Friday, 1 April 2011, at 5:04 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 4/1/11 (Stick)

1. ND/T. The most likely sequence is you cover or make another point and oppt enters one checker. It will still be a take if that happens, so ND for now.

2. Gotta get off the 18 eventually. Is now the time? Not sure but I'd make the deuce.

3. R/T. Stick wins on 32,31, and 21 plus 27 x 5/1296 which is a little > 25%.

4. D/T. Stick gets 12 directs and 6 indirects next shake plus some small future shot/race equity if he misses. Stick loses some g's here so the take looks close.

5. 16/13 6/4x. 16/11 leaves 5 indirects plus the non-hitting D6 and D5 jokers while hitting loose on the 4 leaves 13 hitters and the non-hitting D5. 16/11 leaves a position with few builders so it's going to require some pretty damn good rolling to get to a position where you can offer an inefficient recube. Also, 3 men on the deuce means your race isn't that good either. OTOH, you hate leaving 7 extra numbers where you just lose right away while owning the cube. I'd still do it though since there's a good chance of eventually finding an efficient recube down the road when oppt starts by fanning or entering without hitting.

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