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Crashed 432 backgame cube RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 3 April 2011, at 6:23 a.m.

In Response To: Crashed 432 backgame cube (neilkaz)

Looks like a close take!

XGR+ plays it better than 3 ply (which using XG1 has it as almost a 1.05 pass and probably can't play it as well as a human expert)

So many of White rolls kill more checkers on the ace pt and some 3's blot right away. This isn't terribly gammonish since White is so often hit and Black may run off it anyhow.

Weaken Black in any way (ie advance that spare on the 4 pt) and things quickly become a big pass.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 156
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 83
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-BbbbDDCB------------cbbb-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 68.78% (G:28.36% B:0.99%) 67.94% (G:28.50% B:0.92%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.22% (G:2.41% B:0.05%) 32.06% (G:2.44% B:0.06%)
Cubeless Equities +0.644 +1.256
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.887 (-0.098)±0.006 (+0.881..+0.893)
Double/Take:+0.985±0.009 (+0.976..+0.993)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.015)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 78623594
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 9 hours 18 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.158.alpha

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