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BGonline.org Forums
Daily Quiz 4/4/11
Posted By: Lucas Bauer In Response To: Daily Quiz 4/4/11 (Stick)
Date: Monday, 4 April 2011, at 4:12 p.m.
1. This is a clear pass in a pure race. Using the Keith count 88-89, if it were 2 pips in browns favor, brown would have 22-23%, so here if it were a pure race he has about -6%, so 16-17%. How often does brown leave a shot within the next 2 rolls, and then roll a 6 before white to leave a shot and get hit. Does this extra add up to the 6 or 7% needed to take; I think so, because white will often be wasting pips to avoid leaving a shot. Double/Take
2. The two plays I see are 16/13 15/11 leaving 17 shots and 3 blots, duplicating aces, or 8/4*/1* leaving 20 shots and 4 blots, but the 25% dances gain so much more than being missed playing the other way. I think all the extra gammons from hitting twice make 16/13 15/11 better.
3. The question I guess is whether or not to play on because the gamon value with the cube on 2 is .8, only .2 on 4. 26% is browns takepoint. I think I would play on for the gammon here. No Double/Pass
4. 21% takepoint, price of gammons are .9. Down 64 pips when gammons count for .9 Im not sure its a take, so its for sure a double. White still has 4 points to clear against a well timed double anchor. Double/Take.
5. Brown has a better board up 10 pips. White has a 5 prime with a checker stuck behind it plus a shot. If white hits, brown has plenty of return shots, and if he misses he probably would like the cube back. No Double/Take.
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