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51S-11N

Posted By: mtuhtan
Date: Tuesday, 5 April 2011, at 7:51 p.m.

In Response To: 51S-11N (David Rockwell)

Assuming that I always play 41S and 51S, my opponent only has the chance to make this play approximately 0.15% of all games (4/36 * 1/36 *1/2). That's only once out of every 648 games.

Aren't your 41 and 51 rolls only 2/36 (1/36 each), because rolling 41 and 14 is not the same - if dice fall differently - your opponent wins opening roll.
So, once out of ever 1296 games.


I based my prediction on my opponents, who are way below championship level, and even they played 11N less than 50% of time. So I thought in higher division, players would play better :)

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