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BGonline.org Forums
Opening 51 discussion of 2nd roll misplays
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Opening 51 discussion of 2nd roll misplays (Nack Ballard)
Date: Wednesday, 6 April 2011, at 1:45 a.m.
I give lessons and I cover the opening phase of the game from time to time. What I usually see is the person willing to split after 51S-62 without much hesitation but when I toss 51S-63 up immediately after you can almost feel them stop and scratch their head. They realize just how many shots they're leaving after 63 whereas with 62 it feels more secure to them. Most quickly accept and understand why it's right to run in both instances once it's explained.
David plays a lot more live bg than I do with his club in Chicago but I think his 51S-11N estimate is extremely high.
I differ on percentages for how often other plays are made but not enough to care to make you run through the numbers again. I think I notice more than most when they are/aren't misplayed because to notice you have to be sure of the right play to begin with and usually be a junkie.
At 𤾇, S is a smaller error than for money (51S-62)
What money data do you have? All I can find right now is what is on the site [R S27] /5. I'm not so sure it's a smaller error than it is for money. Are you basing that on anything other than in general when trailing those types of plays become better for the trailer? If there is a difference it's uber tiny, if.
Stick
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