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Fair Settlement ?

Posted By: Bill Riles
Date: Wednesday, 13 April 2011, at 2:09 p.m.

In Response To: Fair Settlement ? (Seth)

I'm not great at estimating percentages of wins and gammons; however, with any such assumption, it is a straightforward mathematical solution. For the purposes of discussion, let's say I win 70% of the time and half of those are gammons, and, of the 30% of the games I lose, 5% are gammons. Thus, I net a single win 35%-25%=10% of the time and I net a gammon 35%-5%=30% of the time. So, (10x1 + 30x2)/100 = 0.7. 0.7 x 16 = 11.2.

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