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Some RO content

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Thursday, 14 April 2011, at 6:11 p.m.

In Response To: Some RO content (neilkaz)

Thanks for the XG rollout. Here's a gnu 2-ply rollout, which says basically the same thing. It's not really a close decision at all for either player.

Thanks to Tim for pointing out how much the stripped 16 / stacked 17 hurts White's position.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 1, you 0 (match to 5 points)

Move number 3: you on roll, cube decision?

gnubg	92
you	133
Position ID: jZ5vAAC2bQGADQ Match ID: cAmgABAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.352	(Money: +0.350)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.475
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.525
3.	No double	+0.313	-0.162
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.607 0.191 0.004 - 0.393 0.055 0.003 +0.352 +0.313 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.004 0.007 Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.616 0.200 0.003 - 0.384 0.071 0.007 +0.840 +0.475 Standard error 0.002 0.002 0.000 - 0.002 0.003 0.002 0.010 0.013
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 881799873 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Match to 5, 3-4 backgame, juicy shot, cube action?
  ah_clem -- Tuesday, 12 April 2011, at 1:37 p.m.
  • Match to 5, 3-4 backgame, juicy shot, cube action?
    Turz -- Tuesday, 12 April 2011, at 3:45 p.m.
  • Match to 5, 3-4 backgame, juicy shot, cube action?
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 12 April 2011, at 6:23 p.m.
    • Some bot content
      Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 13 April 2011, at 3:00 p.m.
      • Some bot content
        Stick -- Wednesday, 13 April 2011, at 3:55 p.m.
        • Some bot content
          Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 13 April 2011, at 5:14 p.m.
          • Some bot content
            Stick -- Wednesday, 13 April 2011, at 6:22 p.m.
            • Some bot content
              Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 13 April 2011, at 9:27 p.m.
      • Some RO content
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 13 April 2011, at 7:48 p.m.
        • RO of variant
          Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 14 April 2011, at 5:04 p.m.
          • RO of variant
            neilkaz -- Thursday, 14 April 2011, at 6:10 p.m.
        • Some RO content
          ah_clem -- Thursday, 14 April 2011, at 6:11 p.m.
  • Match to 5, 3-4 backgame, juicy shot, cube action?
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 12 April 2011, at 6:36 p.m.
  • Match to 5, 3-4 backgame, juicy shot, cube action?
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 12 April 2011, at 6:56 p.m.
  • Match to 5, 3-4 backgame, juicy shot, cube action?
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 12 April 2011, at 7:24 p.m.
    • Match to 5, 3-4 backgame, juicy shot, cube action?
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 14 April 2011, at 6:11 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 15 April 2011, at 10:21 p.m.