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Nearly a prime AtS cube action

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 16 April 2011, at 7:40 p.m.

In Response To: Nearly a prime AtS cube action (neilkaz)

White needs 25% winning chances to take. Doesn't look like she has that, so I would drop.

ATS the question is then whether Blue is TG. It's often the case at 2a3a that by the time the position is a drop, it's TG. However, to be TG you have to have good gammon winning chances! How gammonish is this position? Primes win a lot of games but typically not so many gammons. Still, White has those stacks that may turn into blots soon. If the win were really locked up then I think we would be TG for sure, but the win isn't certain. If White manages to escape then we'll regret not having doubled. However, there aren't that many exchanges that do that. I'm going to go with TG/P.

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