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Rollout of "Cube Action" and variants

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Sunday, 17 April 2011, at 5:11 a.m.

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 132 7 point match pip: 73 score: 1 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aDCBbaCB-----------bcbbb-A:1:-1:-1:00:1:1:0:7:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	74.53% (G: 10.64% B: 0.40%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	25.47% (G: 8.51% B: 0.30%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	74.85% (G: 11.39% B: 0.61%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	25.15% (G: 9.83% B: 0.57%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:	+0.515
Redouble:	+1.061
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:	+0.874 (-0.105)
Redouble/Take:	+0.979
Redouble/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.021)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble:	± 0.010 (+0.864...+0.884)
Confidence Redouble:	± 0.014 (+0.965...+0.993)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	99.9%
Duration: 10 minutes 48 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 132 7 point match pip: 74 score: 1 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aDCBbaBC-----------bcbbb-A:1:-1:-1:00:1:1:0:7:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	76.54% (G: 12.01% B: 0.37%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	23.46% (G: 6.59% B: 0.15%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	76.96% (G: 14.64% B: 0.82%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	23.04% (G: 8.73% B: 0.48%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:	+0.593
Redouble:	+1.210
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:	+0.901 (-0.099)
Redouble/Take:	+1.127 (+0.127)
Redouble/Drop:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble:	± 0.005 (+0.895...+0.906)
Confidence Redouble:	± 0.015 (+1.112...+1.142)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 8 minutes 24 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 132 7 point match pip: 72 score: 1 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aEBBbaCB-----------bcbbb-A:1:-1:-1:00:1:1:0:7:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	74.40% (G: 10.39% B: 0.48%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	25.60% (G: 8.30% B: 0.23%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	74.91% (G: 11.76% B: 0.88%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	25.09% (G: 9.63% B: 0.53%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:	+0.514
Redouble:	+1.071
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:	+0.865 (-0.120)
Redouble/Take:	+0.985
Redouble/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.015)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble:	± 0.010 (+0.855...+0.875)
Confidence Redouble:	± 0.014 (+0.971...+0.999)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	97.9%
Duration: 9 minutes 52 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 132 7 point match pip: 75 score: 1 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aDBCbaBC-----------bcbbb-A:1:-1:-1:00:1:1:0:7:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	75.39% (G: 11.82% B: 0.38%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	24.61% (G: 7.49% B: 0.39%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	76.00% (G: 13.48% B: 0.65%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	24.00% (G: 8.89% B: 0.53%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:	+0.555
Redouble:	+1.151
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:	+0.902 (-0.098)
Redouble/Take:	+1.062 (+0.062)
Redouble/Drop:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble:	± 0.010 (+0.891...+0.912)
Confidence Redouble:	± 0.015 (+1.047...+1.077)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 10 minutes 02 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 131 7 point match pip: 73 score: 1 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aDCBabCB-----------bcbbb-A:1:-1:-1:00:1:1:0:7:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	73.73% (G: 10.29% B: 0.50%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	26.27% (G: 8.39% B: 0.21%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	74.04% (G: 11.28% B: 0.77%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	25.96% (G: 9.87% B: 0.42%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:	+0.499
Redouble:	+1.025
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:	+0.843 (-0.095)
Redouble/Take:	+0.937
Redouble/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.063)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble:	± 0.009 (+0.834...+0.852)
Confidence Redouble:	± 0.014 (+0.924...+0.951)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 9 minutes 55 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 131 7 point match pip: 74 score: 1 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aDCBabBC-----------bcbbb-A:1:-1:-1:00:1:1:0:7:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	75.75% (G: 11.03% B: 0.36%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	24.25% (G: 6.72% B: 0.11%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	75.96% (G: 13.04% B: 0.93%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	24.04% (G: 8.14% B: 0.22%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:	+0.566
Redouble:	+1.154
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:	+0.890 (-0.110)
Redouble/Take:	+1.059 (+0.059)
Redouble/Drop:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble:	± 0.006 (+0.884...+0.896)
Confidence Redouble:	± 0.015 (+1.044...+1.074)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 8 minutes 32 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Rollout of "Cube Action" and variants
  Dmitriy Obukhov -- Sunday, 17 April 2011, at 5:11 a.m.
  • Rollout of "Cube Action" and variants
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 17 April 2011, at 5:33 p.m.
    • Rollout of "Cube Action" and variants
      Dmitriy Obukhov -- Sunday, 17 April 2011, at 8:31 p.m.