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XGR+ RO much TCTC

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 17 April 2011, at 3:05 p.m.

In Response To: Nearly a prime AtS cube action (neilkaz)

This appears to be a good reference position for something cubeless and just a tad above 75% CPW. OTB I cubed thinking it certainly was not a clear take and my opp took and recubed and lost.

Again, in agreement with a study I've done at this score, I don't win enough G's to consider holding off doubling a borderline drop/take.




White is rontom

score: 0
pip: 136
3 point match
pip: 131
score: 1

Blue is neilkaz
XGID=-a--BBCABA--dC---d-d---bA-:0:0:1:00:1:0:0:3:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.668% (G:28.454% B:2.238%) 75.111% (G:36.256% B:3.040%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.332% (G:5.779% B:0.315%) 24.889% (G:8.194% B:0.520%)
Cubeless Equities +0.9691 +1.4324
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.9430 (-0.0570)±0.0048 (+0.9382..+0.9478)
Double/Take:+1.0005 (+0.0005)±0.0076 (+0.9928..+1.0081)
Double/Pass:+1.0000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:54.7%
Duration: 1 day 04 hours 37 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.160.beta, MET: Kazaross XG2

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