BGonline.org Forums

65R-21S-64H-51$-52

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 18 April 2011, at 6:49 a.m.

In Response To: Where to leave shot(s)? (65R-21S-64R*-51$-52?) (mtuhtan)

	172
65R-21S-64H-51$-52	146

Cute roll, many plays. I'll compare the number of hit-covers and double hits. (Single hits aren't so important here, given White's 5pt blot.) The total is in red followed by the breakdown in parentheses.

D (Down, 13/11 14/9) ... 12 (9 hit-covers, 3 double-hits)
d (down, 13/11 13/8) ..... 11 (11 hit-covers)
H (Hit, 13/11 6/1*) .......... 6 (4 hit-covers, 2 double-hits)
O (Outer, 14/9 8/6) ......... 5 (5 hit-covers)
o (outer, 13/6) ................. 7 (7 hit-covers)
% (slot, 13/8 6/4) ........... 11 (11 hit-covers)
$ ($lot, 14/9 6/4) ............ 22 (13 hit-covers, 9 double-hits)
7 (7-point, 14/7) ............ 14 (14 hit-covers)

I'll eliminate $ because 22 is too high. I'll also eliminate % and 7, which are less strong distributionally than D or d and at least as many shots.

That leaves the five lettered plays. H, O and o have the lowest totals but they seem ugly for just a few units of difference in the totals. Among those three, o seems the most promising, but I'm pretty sure that either D or d (if not both) is better.

Which of D or d is superior? I'll try D because it looks like it provides the most resilient position for only one extra unit of risk.

Nack

Messages In This Thread

• Where to leave shot(s)? (65R-21S-64R*-51$-52?)
  mtuhtan -- Sunday, 17 April 2011, at 5:24 p.m.
  • Where to leave shot(s)? (65R-21S-64R*-51$-52?)
    Stick -- Sunday, 17 April 2011, at 5:28 p.m.
    • Where to leave shot(s)? (65R-21S-64R*-51$-52?)
      mtuhtan -- Sunday, 17 April 2011, at 5:36 p.m.
      • 65R-21S-64H-51$-52
        Nack Ballard -- Monday, 18 April 2011, at 6:58 a.m.
  • Where to leave shot(s)? (65R-21S-64R*-51$-52?)
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 17 April 2011, at 5:41 p.m.
  • 65R-21S-64H-51$-52
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 18 April 2011, at 6:49 a.m.
    • 65R-21S-64H-51$-52
      Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 18 April 2011, at 10:04 a.m.
      • 65R-21S-64H-51$-52
        Nack Ballard -- Monday, 18 April 2011, at 7:57 p.m.
  • Where to leave shot(s)? Rollout
    mtuhtan -- Monday, 18 April 2011, at 8:19 p.m.