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BQ: Which bar point to try for *ROLLOUT*

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Tuesday, 19 April 2011, at 11:50 a.m.

In Response To: BQ: Which bar point to try for (leobueno)

The rollout likes the odd-looking play. Don't know how good the rollout is; wondering whether it's worthy of a deeper rollout.

The score (after 0 games) is: GNUbg 4, You 3 (match to 7 points)

Move number 4: You to play 61

GNUbg154


2O ' ' ' '5X '5X ' ' '5O

1X ' '1X2O4O '2O ' ' '3X

You163

Position ID: 4PPBASKwZ/ABMA Match ID: cAnnAEAAGAAE

• You moves 24/18 6/5

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity +0.127(Money: +0.183)
0.561 0.179 0.006 - 0.439 0.119 0.006
Cubeful equities:
4-ply cubeful prune
1.No double +0.446
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.554
3.Double, take +0.368 -0.077
Proper cube action:No double, take (12.2%)

Alert: bad move ( -0.069)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 13/7 6/5 +0.383
0.5300.1750.017-0.4700.1530.019 +0.164 +0.383
0.0020.0020.002-0.0020.0030.002 0.006 0.013
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1735 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 880952165 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 24/18 6/5 +0.313 ( -0.069)
0.5420.1390.016-0.4580.1400.012 +0.123 +0.313
0.0010.0020.002-0.0010.0020.002 0.006 0.011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1733 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 880952165 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 13/6 +0.302 ( -0.080)
0.5250.1580.014-0.4750.1410.017 +0.144 +0.302
0.0020.0020.002-0.0020.0030.002 0.006 0.012
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1480 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 880952165 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 13/7 8/7 +0.294 ( -0.088)
0.5240.1570.012-0.4760.1400.018 +0.133 +0.294
0.0020.0030.002-0.0020.0030.003 0.007 0.015
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1229 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 880952165 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 3 24/23 13/7 +0.120 ( -0.263)
0.497 0.151 0.004 - 0.503 0.148 0.007
3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
6 3 24/23 24/18 +0.081 ( -0.302)
0.503 0.117 0.003 - 0.497 0.135 0.004
3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
7 3 8/1* -0.067 ( -0.450)
0.454 0.141 0.004 - 0.546 0.170 0.012
3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]
8 3 8/2 6/5 -0.165 ( -0.547)
0.440 0.125 0.003 - 0.560 0.175 0.013
3-ply cubeful prune [grandmaster]

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