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Does this pass or not?!

Posted By: eXtreme Gammon
Date: Thursday, 21 April 2011, at 3:07 a.m.

In Response To: Does this pass or not?! (David Rockwell)

Thanks to Ken and David for double checking the fixing tool.

I dont know what happend in your initial RO.

Also the fixed position look strange to me. the error are

  • 0.0085 for 13/9 6/5
  • 0.0023 for 24/23 13/9 (note: the error is the same no matter how many games are rolled) Your posted fixed position show errors of 0.008 (looks right) and 0.000.

    Rounding cannot explain how it went from 0.0023 to 0.000. The process of the fixing tool is pretty straight forward: calculate the delta and add it to the equity (and also fix the winning chances and the internal RO data). could you send me the files ?

    Here are the RO I get(made in V1 , but posted with V2 so it displays 4 decimals)

    With Opening book.




    White is Player 2

    score: 0
    pip: 167
    Unlimited Game
    Jacoby Beaver
    pip: 167
    score: 0

    Blue is Player 1
    XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
    Blue to play 41

    1.Rollout113/9 6/5eq: +0.0031
    Player:
    Opponent:    		49.83% (G:14.10% B:0.56%)
    50.17% (G:14.29% B:0.89%)    		Conf.: ±0.0244 (-0.0213...+0.0275) - [60.1%]
    Duration: 11 minutes 05 seconds
    2.Rollout124/23 13/9eq: -0.0013 (-0.0044)
    Player:
    Opponent:    		49.75% (G:14.46% B:0.63%)
    50.25% (G:13.48% B:0.63%)    		Conf.: ±0.0233 (-0.0246...+0.0220) - [39.9%]
    Duration: 9 minutes 18 seconds
    1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 7636419
    Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.160.beta

    Without the Opening book.





    White is Player 2

    score: 0
    pip: 167
    Unlimited Game
    Jacoby Beaver
    pip: 167
    score: 0

    Blue is Player 1
    XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
    Blue to play 41

    1.Rollout124/23 13/9eq: -0.0035
    Player:
    Opponent:    		49.68% (G:14.48% B:0.66%)
    50.32% (G:13.63% B:0.64%)    		Conf.: ±0.0233 (-0.0268...+0.0198) - [54.0%]
    Duration: 9 minutes 15 seconds
    2.Rollout113/9 6/5eq: -0.0052 (-0.0017)
    Player:
    Opponent:    		49.54% (G:13.99% B:0.58%)
    50.46% (G:14.27% B:0.90%)    		Conf.: ±0.0244 (-0.0296...+0.0192) - [46.0%]
    Duration: 11 minutes 02 seconds
    1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 7636419
    Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.160.beta

    fixing the initial RO with OB





    White is Player 2

    score: 0
    pip: 167
    Unlimited Game
    Jacoby Beaver
    pip: 167
    score: 0

    Blue is Player 1
    XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
    Blue to play 41

    1.Rollout124/23 13/9eq: -0.0035
    Player:
    Opponent:    		49.68% (G:14.48% B:0.66%)
    50.32% (G:13.63% B:0.64%)    		Conf.: ±0.0233 (-0.0268...+0.0198) - [54.2%]
    Duration: 9 minutes 18 seconds
    2.Rollout113/9 6/5eq: -0.0053 (-0.0018)
    Player:
    Opponent:    		49.54% (G:13.99% B:0.58%)
    50.46% (G:14.27% B:0.90%)    		Conf.: ±0.0244 (-0.0297...+0.0191) - [45.8%]
    Duration: 11 minutes 05 seconds
    1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 7636419
    Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.160.beta

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