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Daily Quiz 4/21/11

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 22 April 2011, at 12:23 a.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 4/21/11 (Stick)

1. We can quickly dismiss breaking anchor since we're behind in the race and outboarded. 13/10 13/18 doesn't look better to me than 11/6 11/8 so I think 11/6 is the 5 and then we have to find a 3. The candidates seem to be 6/3* hitting, 8/5 slotting, and 11/8 playing safe. Though White has a blot on the 1pt, hitting doesn't seem like the right idea here. White is stripped and we have a semi-decent prime blocking her back checker, so allowing her to play her full roll doesn't look bad, whereas hitting seems to risk quite a bit for questionable gain. If it weren't for her 1pt blot I'd play safe, and even here playing safe might be right, but I'll try the slot since 11/8 looks too inflexible. 11/6 8/5.

2. Given White's outfield blot, it's tempting to play 4/3*(2). Still, if we don't hit then even if White leaps, she still has work to do. We stand to get shots later when we'll have a better board. I'd rather make use of this good roll to build structure. 11/9(2) is a possibility, blocking 6's and putting pressure on White's blots, but it doesn't look compelling enough to distract me from the 5pt. So I'll start with 7/5 6/5. For the last ace, I guess 11/10 is an option but it doesn't seem to gain much for the shots it leaves. 8/5 6/5.

3. I think it's better to unstack and make a new point than to switch from the 8pt to the 5pt. Bar/22(2) 6/3(2).

4. Awkward. Clearly we're not pulling up the 5pt or 6pt so we have to leave a shot. Breaking anchor looks weak despite our slight race lead when we have a home-board blot and when the opponent is itching for an excuse for a gammonish cube-turn ATS. That leaves 13/6 or 11/8 11/7 or 8/1. Not sure but I'll try 8/1. It gets rid of our ace-point blot, strengthens our board, and forces White to break anchor to hit when we'll usually have several return shots.

5. White needs 18% to take. Seems like the gaps in our home board should make this a clear take. As Blue I'd probably hold though I've discovered I have a tendency to hold too long in these kinds of races when I have an awkward distribution. ND/T but without much confidence in the ND.

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