Apparently you all are smarter than I :-). I viewed the extra shots and extra blot as unacceptable, especially considering opp's gammon value. Seems that the future safety greatly outweighs it, however. I learned something today...
        
 
         
 | | White is ButterFly
score: 0
pip: 110 | | 5 point match | pip: 67
score: 3
Blue is RolldUpTrips |
|
| XGID=-CCCBaBA------b--bbdb-Ab--:1:1:1:64:3:0:0:5:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 22/12 | eq: +0.284 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 67.42% (G:7.22% B:0.03%)
32.58% (G:4.53% B:0.13%) | Conf: ± 0.005 (+0.279...+0.289)
Duration: 7 minutes 12 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 22/16 7/3 | eq: +0.201 (-0.083) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.71% (G:8.26% B:0.02%)
38.29% (G:2.37% B:0.05%) | Conf: ± 0.005 (+0.196...+0.206)
Duration: 6 minutes 49 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 98147049
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross