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55 from the bar

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 28 April 2011, at 11:27 p.m.

In Response To: 55 from the bar (Michael Depreli)

I think the first two 5's have to be bar/20 15/10*. After that there are a few possibilities but the serious candidates seem to be 20/10 and 8/3(2). With such a powerful roll we have to consider carefully the cube action next turn. A weak roll by White should result in D/P or possibly even TG. White's chances for survival seem to hinge mainly on being able to make a high anchor or a double anchor right away, after which I think White should be able to take. This would argue for 8/3(2), which I think increases the chances of D/P next roll. Of course 20/10 leaves no blots but the 10pt and 4pt don't work well together for priming, and except for White's joker 55, I don't think White's return shots after 8/3(2) are particularly strong. Not sure but I think I'd play bar/20 15/10* 8/3/(2).

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