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4xD-44 data

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 30 April 2011, at 1:27 a.m.

In Response To: 64S-44 (Bob Koca)

For reference, here is money data for second roll positions in which the first player has brought a 4 down to the 9pt:

    41$-44 [B C10]a
    41S-44 [E B57] ~5
    43D-44 [b R8]a
    43Z-44 [C c151]t
    54D-44 [B b27 R36]a
    64S-44 [R B14]a

Key: By the hit/most/6 rule, when there is a blot on the 16pt, B = 24/16* 13/9(2), b = 24/20(2) 13/9(2), C = 24/16* 8/4*(2), c = 24/20(2) 8/4(2), E = 24/16* 6/2(2), etc. R = 24/16*(2).

Margins are in thousandths. After brackets, a = agg, ~5 = Snowie 5k rollout, and t = trunc. For example, "[B b27 R36]a" means that B is best, b is -.027 and R is -.036 in an agg (bot aggregate of rollouts).

As Bob states, 64S-44 is the only position in this category for which R is the best (money) play. For 43D-44, Snowie is [R b1 B3] ~46, but the other bots are [b R16 B20] /15 and [b R10 B11] <62.

Nack

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