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false alarm

Posted By: Casper van der Tak
Date: Sunday, 1 May 2011, at 7:36 a.m.

In Response To: false alarm (Chuck Bower)

Chuck, if you use the approach that Kit often used (same as mentioned in my first message in this thread), assuming that all white wins are on 4, and half of black wins are on 4, then plug in the approximate gammon fractions on the basis of the rollout (1/7th for white, 6/10ths for black), then you get a take with 34.25% GWC or over. With a bit over 35%, white should have a clear take.

I think Kit's approach works very well in cases with a lopsided score where you have the possible to give a dead, gammicidal recube, and that it works better than assuming a cube efficiency and work in the standard way (I would not know what efficiency to assume). Here Kit's approach implies that you'd recube ("on average") when a slight GWC favorite which seems reasonable.

Messages In This Thread

• Cube action?
  Marcos Nahhas -- Friday, 29 April 2011, at 4:15 p.m.
  • Cube action?
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 30 April 2011, at 12:34 a.m.
    • Cube action?
      Marcos Nahhas -- Saturday, 30 April 2011, at 3:00 a.m.
      • Cube action?
        Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 30 April 2011, at 7:12 a.m.
        • Rollout
          Marcos Nahhas -- Saturday, 30 April 2011, at 1:27 p.m.
          • Rollout
            Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 30 April 2011, at 6:06 p.m.
            • Rollout
              Marcos Nahhas -- Saturday, 30 April 2011, at 6:13 p.m.
              • Rollout
                Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 30 April 2011, at 6:21 p.m.
                • Rollout
                  Marcos Nahhas -- Saturday, 30 April 2011, at 9:28 p.m.
          • Something doesn't look right
            Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 30 April 2011, at 10:37 p.m.
            • false alarm
              Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 1 May 2011, at 1:44 a.m.
              • false alarm
                Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 1 May 2011, at 7:36 a.m.
                • cube efficiency
                  Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 1 May 2011, at 3:49 p.m.
                  • cube efficiency
                    Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 1 May 2011, at 4:32 p.m.
                    • Kit's method
                      Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 1 May 2011, at 5:15 p.m.
          • Variant Rollout
            Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 1 May 2011, at 3:40 p.m.
            • Variant Rollout
              Marcos Nahhas -- Sunday, 1 May 2011, at 3:55 p.m.
            • Variant Rollout 2
              Marcos Nahhas -- Sunday, 1 May 2011, at 5:03 p.m.
              • Variant Rollout 2
                Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 1 May 2011, at 5:21 p.m.
  • XGR+ Rollout
    Stick -- Monday, 2 May 2011, at 2:19 a.m.