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A cube from tonight's USBGF team match

Posted By: Mr Majestyk
Date: Thursday, 5 May 2011, at 11:11 a.m.

In Response To: A cube from tonight's USBGF team match (neilkaz)

From whites perspective he wins a pure race 42.4% (according to my estimate). Blue's dodgy numbers are 4 when he dances and his almost nothing rolls 51 52 53 21 for a total of 12/36 White's gammon estimate is 42.4*33.3, 14%; adjusting his WC's to 56.4%.

Blue wins a pure race 57.6% with his estimated gammon chances coming from any 4 plus 11 22 31 33 63, 18/36 0r 50*57.6, 28.8% plus 4 from the remaining 6 rolls i.e 28.8*11.1(4/36) about 3.2% for a total of 32% gammons. White's chances are then 56.4-(32-14) = 38.4%. If the cube is worth 10% of white's WC's then he can expect to win 38.4+3.84, 42.2% hmm! Question is it a D?

Blues GV is .5*32+57.6 = 73.6, in this case 26.4 is very close to a dead cube for white (26%).

No question about the double if my figures are right!

Majestyk

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