Thank You Bob for your feedback. I take on board two issue here.
1. Your right about the samples; they should have been tested at DMP (see example below).
2. If the analysis of the position in question is in error; then it is by oversight and oversight alone. I do not under any circumstances "fudge" results just to make something look good. My integrity is at stake here, and as a fellow backgammon player I hold the respect of the backgammon community in high regard and would never attempt to abandon its ethos.
On the flipside, if do not want to get punched, stay out of the ring.
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| XGID=------E-CBCBbbba-c-e------:0:0:1:00:7:7:0:9:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | |
| No Double | |
| Player Winning Chances: | 75.57% (G: 0.03% B: 0.00%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 24.43% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) |
| Double/Take | |
| Player Winning Chances: | 75.68% (G: 0.34% B: 0.00%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 24.32% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%) |
| Cubeless Equities | |
| No Double: | +0.512 |
| Double: | +1.452 |
| Cubeful Equities | |
| No Double: | +0.944 (-0.056) |
| Double/Take: | +1.452 (+0.452) |
| Double/Drop: | +1.000 |
| Best Cube action: Double / Drop | |
| Rollout details | |
| 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply | |
| Confidence No Double: | ± 0.001 (+0.943...+0.945) |
| Confidence Double: | ± 0.002 (+1.450...+1.454) |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Duration: 26 minutes 35 seconds | |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
The Dual E-Pip/Metric Formula 75.12%
Majestyk