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Pottle's Law or something else?

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 7 May 2011, at 5:27 p.m.

In Response To: Pottle's Law or something else? (Mislav Kovacic)

There aren't too many 6's to choose from. Breaking the midpoint seems to cede the outfield entirely so I don't think it's right. That leaves 24/18 and 8/2*. 24/18 is thematic since we're ahead in the race and it distracts Black from making the 5pt or 4pt by threatening his outfield blots. On the other hand it does mean that Black can hit with 35 out of 36 rolls if he so chooses, and some of those rolls are pretty good ones. What about 8/2*? It looks a bit ragged but it also makes it hard for Black to make a good point this roll, and leaves a lot fewer shots of course. I think I'd try 8/2*/1 here, but it's not an easy decision.

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