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BGonline.org Forums
Daily Quiz 5/10
Posted By: Timothy Chow In Response To: Daily Quiz 5/10 (Stick)
Date: Thursday, 12 May 2011, at 5:16 a.m.
1. Does it matter that the score is gammon go? If there are no further hits then I think gammons are unlikely. Blue's gammon wins will probably come from getting hit and hitting back; again this doesn't look like a very likely parlay. I think the right play here is going to be the same as the DMP play. Do we pay now with 11/8 11/7 or 11/4, or do we pay later by pulling up the bar? We have a large race lead and if we don't roll a 6, we can probably hold out for a while as we wait for doublets. Not sure but when in doubt I pay later. 7/4 7/3.
2. White has an anchor and a guard and this is a slightly awkward roll so 13/11 6/1* is a candidate. The main alternatives seem to be 15/8 and 15/10 13/11. An additional point in favor of hitting is that it gives us a better chance at hitting White's 5pt slot. I'll try 13/11 6/1*.
3. I think that if White hits us and we dance then White will have a good cube, despite her three checkers back, because she'll have a better position, with some threats and a slight race lead. I'll run with 22/14, reducing shots and plopping my blot in front of White's stripped midpoint. If missed, we're in a good position to consolidate, leaving White with only a holding game. The alternative of making the 3pt behind White's anchor gives us some structure but doesn't give us a path to solving the problem of rescuing our straggler.
4. It's clear what we want to accomplish in this sort of position: We want to build our board and we want to get our rear checkers into a good defensive posture. The question is what our priorities should be. I'll try to work both sides at once with 24/22 6/5. I think we should make one semi-advanced anchor, but making two doesn't seem urgent; in fact we might prefer to have checkers on three different points if White coughs up a blot.
5. The pipcount indicates a close take for White on the race alone. Blue has some attacking chances because of White's blots, but they don't look too strong to me because White has the stronger board. I take as White. Blue's race lead and blitzing chances should make it a good double. D/T.
Bonus. Blue has awful structure but currently has no exposed blots and enjoys a 40-pip lead. ATS, Blue should drop quickly in the face of gammon danger, but I don't think the gammon danger is that great just yet. Again I take as Blue, and I'm not sure about the double since the position doesn't seem that volatile. It seems to be a practical double, though, since I'm not totally sure it's a take and some will drop even if I'm right about the take.
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