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64 to play

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Friday, 13 May 2011, at 12:54 a.m.

In Response To: 64 to play (Michael Nielsen)

I can fill in the closeout or escape a runner. Which is better?

If I fill in the closeout, I have about a 50% chance of leaping out, and that should do it. If I don't leap, I 'll get another chance next turn. OTOH, if I run now, white has a 30% chance of entering and hitting, but the game isn't over if he hits - white still has work to do to extricate his runner, although he has good timing. Either play followed by dance is TOO GOOD, so the cube/match score isn't any help.

I'm going to go with running. Even if he enters and hits, I still hav counterplay. 22/16 7/3 (not 22/12) This gives small numbers to fill in the prime and big numbers to run.

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