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62S 61P 41 - ROLLOUT
Posted By: ah_clem In Response To: 62S 61P 41 - What's your play? (ah_clem)
Date: Friday, 13 May 2011, at 1:59 p.m.
I played U ( bar/20 ), reasoning that since the checker was just as likely to be attacked on the 21 as the 20 I might as well slot the better point. Thanks to David Rockwell for pointing out that while either point is about as likely to be hit, hitting on the 20 is more advantageous for my opponent than hitting on the 21. Thus, gnu likes entering on the 21 and then doing something else with the ace.
W and V are statistically tied at this rollout setting. I'll invite anyone with XG to do another rollout and see if it has a different opinion.
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, you 0 (match to 5 points)
Move number 4: you to play 41
gnubg 160
you 166 Position ID: 4NvgATDgc+QBUA Match ID: cAmmAAAAAAAA
• you moves bar/20
# Ply Move Equity 1 R bar/21 6/5 -0.223
0.463 0.118 0.008 - 0.537 0.186 0.014 -0.155 -0.223 0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.006 0.014 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 887301727 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R bar/21 24/23 -0.227 ( -0.003)
0.453 0.115 0.006 - 0.547 0.164 0.010 -0.153 -0.227 0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.005 0.011 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 887301727 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R bar/21 11/10 -0.247 ( -0.024)
0.446 0.117 0.006 - 0.554 0.167 0.009 -0.170 -0.247 0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.006 0.013 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 887301727 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 4 R bar/20 -0.250 ( -0.027)
0.449 0.116 0.006 - 0.551 0.172 0.009 -0.165 -0.250 0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.005 0.012 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 887301727 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5 R bar/24 13/9 -0.283 ( -0.060)
0.433 0.129 0.008 - 0.567 0.172 0.010 -0.193 -0.283 0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.006 0.013 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 887301727 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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