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62S 61P 41 - ROLLOUT

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Friday, 13 May 2011, at 1:59 p.m.

In Response To: 62S 61P 41 - What's your play? (ah_clem)

I played U ( bar/20 ), reasoning that since the checker was just as likely to be attacked on the 21 as the 20 I might as well slot the better point. Thanks to David Rockwell for pointing out that while either point is about as likely to be hit, hitting on the 20 is more advantageous for my opponent than hitting on the 21. Thus, gnu likes entering on the 21 and then doing something else with the ace.

W and V are statistically tied at this rollout setting. I'll invite anyone with XG to do another rollout and see if it has a different opinion.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, you 0 (match to 5 points)

Move number 4: you to play 41

gnubg160


1O ' ' ' '5X2X2X ' ' '4O

2X ' ' ' '5O '3O ' '1O4X

you166

Position ID: 4NvgATDgc+QBUA Match ID: cAmmAAAAAAAA

• you moves bar/20

# Ply Move Equity
1 R bar/21 6/5 -0.223
0.4630.1180.008-0.5370.1860.014 -0.155 -0.223
0.0020.0020.001-0.0020.0020.001 0.006 0.014
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 887301727 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R bar/21 24/23 -0.227 ( -0.003)
0.4530.1150.006-0.5470.1640.010 -0.153 -0.227
0.0020.0020.001-0.0020.0020.001 0.005 0.011
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 887301727 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R bar/21 11/10 -0.247 ( -0.024)
0.4460.1170.006-0.5540.1670.009 -0.170 -0.247
0.0020.0020.001-0.0020.0020.001 0.006 0.013
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 887301727 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R bar/20 -0.250 ( -0.027)
0.4490.1160.006-0.5510.1720.009 -0.165 -0.250
0.0020.0020.001-0.0020.0020.001 0.005 0.012
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 887301727 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 R bar/24 13/9 -0.283 ( -0.060)
0.4330.1290.008-0.5670.1720.010 -0.193 -0.283
0.0020.0020.001-0.0020.0020.001 0.006 0.013
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 887301727 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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