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64 to play

Posted By: Michael Nielsen
Date: Saturday, 14 May 2011, at 11:04 a.m.

In Response To: 64 to play (Michael Nielsen)

Stick is right as usual. If I hadn't botched the cube action, I wouldn't have blundered on the checkerplay as well.

		White is XG Roller score: 0 pip: 109 3 point match pip: 98 score: 0 Blue is Michael
XGID=aABBBBCA---b------bcbbBc--:1:1:1:64:0:0:0:3:10
Blue to play 64

1.	Rollout1	7/1 6/2	eq: +0.808
	Player: Opponent: 70.30% (G:27.35% B:0.00%) 29.70% (G:6.31% B:0.07%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.800...+0.817) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 26 seconds
2.*	Rollout1	22/12	eq: +0.659 (-0.149)
	Player: Opponent: 72.00% (G:28.53% B:1.00%) 28.00% (G:13.33% B:2.83%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.651...+0.667) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 22 seconds
3.	Rollout1	22/16 7/3	eq: +0.617 (-0.191)
	Player: Opponent: 69.59% (G:27.13% B:1.07%) 30.41% (G:10.87% B:1.03%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.610...+0.625) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 16 seconds
1 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.163.beta, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

		White is XG Roller score: 0 pip: 109 3 point match pip: 98 score: 0 Blue is Michael
XGID=aABBBBCA---b------bcbbBc--:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:3:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	72.26% (G:28.33% B:0.10%)	73.34% (G:29.13% B:0.26%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	27.74% (G:5.39% B:0.30%)	26.66% (G:7.48% B:0.48%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.672	+0.929
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.846 (-0.083)	±0.007 (+0.839..+0.853)
Redouble/Take:	+0.929	±0.008 (+0.921..+0.938)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.071)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 4 minutes 13 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.163.beta, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

		White is XG Roller score: 0 pip: 109 3 point match pip: 98 score: 0 Blue is Michael
XGID=aABBBBCA---b------bcbbBc--:2:-1:1:64:0:0:0:3:10
Blue to play 64

1.	Rollout1	22/12	eq: +0.457
	Player: Opponent: 72.83% (G:32.95% B:0.56%) 27.17% (G:15.16% B:1.76%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.452...+0.462) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 41 seconds
2.	Rollout1	22/16 7/3	eq: +0.407 (-0.049)
	Player: Opponent: 70.37% (G:31.30% B:0.66%) 29.63% (G:11.66% B:0.82%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.403...+0.412) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 31 seconds
3.	Rollout1	7/1 6/2	eq: +0.406 (-0.051)
	Player: Opponent: 70.30% (G:27.35% B:0.00%) 29.70% (G:6.31% B:0.07%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.402...+0.410) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 28 seconds
1 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.163.beta, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• 64 to play
  Michael Nielsen -- Thursday, 12 May 2011, at 11:31 p.m.
  • 64 to play
    ah_clem -- Friday, 13 May 2011, at 12:54 a.m.
  • 64 to play
    Timothy Chow -- Friday, 13 May 2011, at 1:22 a.m.
  • 64 to play
    Stick -- Friday, 13 May 2011, at 2:30 a.m.
    • 64 to play
      Christian Munk-Christensen -- Friday, 13 May 2011, at 11:04 a.m.
      • 64 to play
        Christian Munk-Christensen -- Friday, 13 May 2011, at 11:07 a.m.
  • 64 to play
    steve -- Friday, 13 May 2011, at 6:27 a.m.
  • 64 to play
    Michael Nielsen -- Saturday, 14 May 2011, at 11:04 a.m.
    • *ROLLOUTS* above *NM*
      Michael Nielsen -- Saturday, 14 May 2011, at 11:05 a.m.