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Money rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 21 May 2011, at 7:36 p.m.

In Response To: RO says to basically flip a coin (neilkaz)

If the rollout below can be trusted, paying now is slightly clearer for money than ATS.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 78
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 71
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-CCBC-B-----b---B-abbcbba-:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout116/13 16/11eq: -0.171
Player:
Opponent:		 47.27% (G:0.68% B:0.01%)
52.73% (G:2.20% B:0.03%)		Conf: ± 0.003 (-0.174...-0.168)
Duration: 6 minutes 45 seconds
2.Rollout16/3 6/1eq: -0.189 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		 47.32% (G:0.14% B:0.00%)
52.68% (G:1.25% B:0.02%)		Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.193...-0.185)
Duration: 12 minutes 10 seconds
3.Rollout16/1 4/1eq: -0.225 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		 46.49% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
53.51% (G:1.36% B:0.02%)		Conf: ± 0.005 (-0.230...-0.220)
Duration: 10 minutes 48 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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