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RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 23 May 2011, at 4:12 a.m.

In Response To: Recube decision after my super joker 55 and his dance (neilkaz)

OTB I tried to find a cube here, but I felt too far away from making some blocking points that may crash Rod's board which has only 1 spare to play. AtS this is a close decision. I rolled OTB and would've cubed after a good sequence for me.




White is Sentry

score: 1
pip: 167
9 point match
pip: 201
score: 0

Blue is neilkaz
XGID=c--BbCB--a-----A--AcAbbEb-:2:1:1:00:0:1:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.87% (G:24.93% B:4.06%) 62.94% (G:25.30% B:4.46%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.13% (G:17.43% B:2.86%) 37.06% (G:19.21% B:2.73%)
Cubeless Equities +0.383 +0.683
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.686±0.010 (+0.676..+0.697)
Redouble/Take:+0.679 (-0.008)±0.011 (+0.667..+0.690)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.314)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 2.3%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 83467239
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Double Decision confidence:83.8%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 6 hours 18 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.165.beta, MET: Kazaross XG2

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