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-3, -5 cube action

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Monday, 23 May 2011, at 7:46 p.m.

In Response To: -3, -5 cube action (Michael Nielsen)

It certainly looks good enough to double, and is clearly a pass. Is it too good?

At first glance I didn't see any way for white to lose this one - and if you can't possibly lose and there are gammon chances then one should always roll. But a closer look shows that there are 11 airballs here (11 22 33 44 16 14 46) with 33 and 64 being particularly bad shakes.

My take is that a gammon gets white to Crawford and that's worth risking the ~30% airballs - heck, white can probably still cash after most of them.

D/P

Messages In This Thread

• -3, -5 cube action
  Michael Nielsen -- Monday, 23 May 2011, at 6:47 p.m.
  • -3, -5 cube action
    ah_clem -- Monday, 23 May 2011, at 7:46 p.m.
    • -3, -5 cube action
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 24 May 2011, at 2:45 p.m.
    • -3, -5 cube action
      ah_clem -- Tuesday, 24 May 2011, at 7:43 p.m.
  • -3, -5 cube action
    Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 23 May 2011, at 7:55 p.m.
    • -3, -5 cube action
      Stick -- Tuesday, 24 May 2011, at 2:22 a.m.
      • -3, -5 cube action
        Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 24 May 2011, at 7:29 a.m.
      • -3, -5 cube action
        Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 24 May 2011, at 5:15 p.m.
        • -3, -5 cube action
          Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 24 May 2011, at 5:55 p.m.
        • -3, -5 cube action
          Stick -- Tuesday, 24 May 2011, at 6:52 p.m.
  • -3, -5 cube action
    Udo Moerschbach -- Monday, 23 May 2011, at 8:16 p.m.
    • -3, -5 cube action
      Stick -- Tuesday, 24 May 2011, at 2:18 a.m.
  • -3, -5 cube action
    Turz -- Tuesday, 24 May 2011, at 12:28 p.m.
  • Rollout and variant
    Michael Nielsen -- Wednesday, 25 May 2011, at 9:42 a.m.
    • Variant
      Michael Nielsen -- Wednesday, 25 May 2011, at 10:30 a.m.
    • Rollout and variant
      Stick -- Wednesday, 25 May 2011, at 11:36 a.m.