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Whopper and triple whopper....

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 23 May 2011, at 9:29 p.m.

In Response To: Whopper and triple whopper.... (Rod)

To do this calculation you should use MWC rather than EMG.

Find out from the bot how much MWC your opponent gives up by incorrectly dropping, and multiply this by 16/36 (the chances of a dance). Then compare this to the difference in MWC between the top play and the pointing play. This will tell you which play is better if you're 100% sure he'll drop after a dance, and if both of you will otherwise play just like the bot.

Of course since you know neither of you will play just like the bot, this calculation will only be an approximation.

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