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The right way to measure which player played better in a match

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 4:02 a.m.

In Response To: The right way to measure which player played better in a match (Phil Simborg)

" I think I am too good to double, so for 5 rolls I don't cube when I should have. "

You seem to think you should get dinged only one time. But the size of that first error is figured assuming you would play correctly from then on.

"However, the error of thinking I was too good might not have really cost me anything"

Virtually any error might end up not really costing anything. We can do a lot better than rollouts of 1.

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