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RO for Casper

Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Thursday, 2 June 2011, at 10:17 p.m.

In Response To: However... (Casper van der Tak)

The requested change moving a spare from the ace to the four did indeed change the cube action from D/P to D/T. Nevertheless, this should be seen as a small change next to the change tested above where White's point was moved from the deuce to the ace. It only made a difference because the original position was so close.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 114
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 55
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-DDCC-a--a------bbbbc-Ab--:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
White on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 75.81% (G: 4.05% B: 0.09%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24.19% (G: 3.84% B: 0.01%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 76.22% (G: 3.73% B: 0.09%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.78% (G: 3.51% B: 0.01%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.519
Redouble:+1.055
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.912 (-0.035)
Redouble/Take:+0.948
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.052)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 96013326
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.005 (+0.907...+0.918)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.007 (+0.941...+0.955)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 2 hours 10 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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