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The right way to measure which player played better in a match

Posted By: Tom Keith
Date: Thursday, 2 June 2011, at 11:47 p.m.

In Response To: The right way to measure which player played better in a match (Maik Stiebler)

Ok, so if one player (A) always blunders away 5% GWC in the first game and plays the rest perfectly, and the other player (B) plays perfectly except that he always blunders away 5% GWC at DMP:

Here's the MET:

______ 11a _ 10a __ 9a __ 8a __ 7a __ 6a __ 5a __ 4a __ 3a __ 2a __ 1a
11a: .5000 .5793 .6679 .7522 .8277 .8904 .9377 .9696 .9880 .9966 .9995
10a: .4031 .4907 .5835 .6767 .7651 .8430 .9059 .9512 .9794 .9937 .9989
_9a: .3155 .3980 .4902 .5884 .6872 .7802 .8605 .9230 .9651 .9884 .9979
_8a: .2329 .3058 .3920 .4895 .5943 .6998 .7981 .8809 .9418 .9789 .9957
_7a: .1600 .2196 .2945 .3848 .4887 .6015 .7153 .8199 .9047 .9621 .9914
_6a: .1005 .1448 .2041 .2809 .3759 .4877 .6107 .7352 .8473 .9328 .9828
_5a: .0562 .0854 .1274 .1858 .2642 .3646 .4863 .6230 .7617 .8828 .9656
_4a: .0269 .0435 .0690 .1074 .1637 .2430 .3496 .4844 .6406 .8000 .9313
_3a: .0104 .0179 .0305 .0512 .0844 .1363 .2148 .3281 .4813 .6688 .8625
_2a: .0029 .0054 .0099 .0180 .0324 .0578 .1016 .1750 .2938 .4750 .7250
_1a: .0004 .0009 .0018 .0035 .0070 .0141 .0281 .0563 .1125 .2250 .4500

Who is the long term favorite?

Equally favored. (See MET at 11a/11a.)

Whom would you call the stronger player?

Equally favored means equally strong I'd think.

Who is stronger according to long term EMG error rate?

In matches that go to DMP, both players have the same error rate. In matches that don't go to DMP, only Player A makes errors. So B has a lower error rate overall.

Who is stronger according to long term average total MWC error?

No difference.

Messages In This Thread

• The right way to measure which player played better in a match
  Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 31 May 2011, at 10:59 p.m.
  • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
    Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 31 May 2011, at 11:29 p.m.
    • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
      Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 7:56 a.m.
      • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
        Maik Stiebler -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 5:19 p.m.
        • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
          Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 5:35 p.m.
  • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
    eXtreme Gammon -- Tuesday, 31 May 2011, at 11:45 p.m.
    • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 12:09 a.m.
      • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
        Jason Lee -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 1:02 a.m.
        • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
          eXtreme Gammon -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 1:57 a.m.
      • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 2:30 a.m.
        • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
          sonrik -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 4:33 a.m.
          • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
            Leonardo Jerkovic -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 5:08 a.m.
            • purpose of EMG
              dlevy -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 2:09 p.m.
              • purpose of EMG
                Marty Storer -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 4:11 p.m.
                • purpose of EMG
                  Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 4:13 p.m.
                  • purpose of EMG
                    Marty Storer -- Monday, 6 June 2011, at 10:18 p.m.
    • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
      Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 7:55 a.m.
      • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
        Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 3:19 p.m.
        • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
          Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 3:51 p.m.
          • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
            Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 4:11 p.m.
            • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
              Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 4:22 p.m.
            • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
              dlevy -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 4:24 p.m.
              • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
                Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 4:52 p.m.
              • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
                Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 6:00 p.m.
                • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
                  Maik Stiebler -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 8:00 p.m.
                  • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
                    Tom Keith -- Thursday, 2 June 2011, at 11:47 p.m.
                    • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
                      Chuck Bower -- Friday, 3 June 2011, at 9:14 p.m.
                    • Good answer, thank you! *NM*
                      Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 3 June 2011, at 9:44 p.m.
            • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
              Jeremy Bagai -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 8:28 p.m.
          • t(error)
            Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 5:01 p.m.
            • t(error)
              Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 5:23 p.m.
  • Follow up abotu stat sig
    eXtreme Gammon -- Tuesday, 31 May 2011, at 11:50 p.m.
  • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
    Seth -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 1:07 a.m.
    • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
      Phlegethos -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 7:15 p.m.
      • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
        Stick -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 7:41 p.m.
        • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
          eXtreme Gammon -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 8:54 p.m.
          • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
            Phlegethos -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 9:56 p.m.
  • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
    Phil Simborg -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 3:08 a.m.
    • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 4:02 a.m.
  • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
    Henrik Bukkjaer -- Wednesday, 1 June 2011, at 10:18 p.m.
  • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
    Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 2 June 2011, at 1:52 a.m.
    • The right way to measure which player played better in a match
      Henrik Bukkjaer -- Friday, 3 June 2011, at 1:09 a.m.