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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 18 December 2006, at 10:54 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Sunday Dec. 17th (Stick)

Since Neil and lucky already posted lengthy rollouts I cut this one 'short' so my processor could process some other positions =) My preference was for not slotting since I'll be forced to give up a point very soon and possibly leave a shot. We see what happened though, and you wish you'd slotted, cause you could have hit and covered!


Match to 25, White leads 6 to 2
115
129
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 11/5 4/3 -0.304
0.3% 8.6% 40.8% 59.2% 10.4% 0.4%
Live cube rollout: -0.316
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.203 ±0.009, - live cube: -0.316 ±0.020. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 74675 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
2 R 11/4 -0.309 (-0.005)
0.3% 7.8% 40.7% 59.3% 9.8% 0.3%
Live cube rollout: -0.328
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.206 ±0.009, - live cube: -0.328 ±0.016. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 77185 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.

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