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22 to play

Posted By: Ian Shaw
Date: Thursday, 9 June 2011, at 12:40 p.m.

In Response To: 22 to play (neilkaz)

Neil wrote "After that he has to dance (16/36) we have to blot (16/36) and he has to hit (11/36) and still win. I'll take that risk for clearly more G's."

That evaluates to 6% hits. I read somewhere (probably Advanced Backgammon) that each chequer of is worth about 5% extra gammons. If this is true, then risking the hit would not pay off, even if Blue can still win 25% after being hit.

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