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How comes Blue wins more games after redoubling?!

Posted By: rambiz
Date: Friday, 10 June 2011, at 8:53 p.m.





White is Player 2

score: 10
pip: 100
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 116
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aBBBCBB---a----bbbbbBab-:1:1:1:00:4:10:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 66.88% (G: 16.39% B: 0.48%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.12% (G: 7.42% B: 0.22%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 68.06% (G: 16.37% B: 0.43%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.94% (G: 7.46% B: 0.21%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.430
Redouble:+0.905
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.610 (-0.057)
Redouble/Take:+0.667
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.333)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.012 (+0.598...+0.621)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.023 (+0.645...+0.690)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 29 minutes 07 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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