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Rollout: Embarras de richesses

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 16 June 2011, at 4:45 p.m.

In Response To: Embarras de richesses (Timothy Chow)

I hit with 22/21* here; XG 3-ply concurred but GNU 2-ply thought it was a blunder. XGR+ narrowly agreed with GNU 2-ply's play of making the 1pt and a rollout further vindicated GNU's choice.

Change Blue's homeboard gap to the 4pt instead of the 3pt and I think making the 1pt is a mistake (but I haven't rolled it out). Looks like a fairly subtle tradeoff going on here.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 140
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 116
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-aC-BBCb-----D--bbbcbaA---:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 51

1.Rollout16/1* 2/1eq: +0.515
Player:
Opponent:		 53.30% (G:40.15% B:0.35%)
46.70% (G:9.04% B:0.38%)		Conf: ± 0.019 (+0.496...+0.534)
Duration: 4 hours 49 minutes
2.Rollout122/21* 6/1* eq: +0.462 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		 54.34% (G:35.05% B:1.03%)
45.66% (G:10.76% B:0.56%)		Conf: ± 0.009 (+0.453...+0.471)
Duration: 3 hours 26 minutes
3.Rollout122/21* 13/8eq: +0.455 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:		 54.51% (G:33.25% B:1.20%)
45.49% (G:9.70% B:0.43%)		Conf: ± 0.015 (+0.440...+0.470)
Duration: 6 hours 10 minutes
1 5335 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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