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Re: Today's OLM - two decisions!

Posted By: Philippe Michel
Date: Tuesday, 19 December 2006, at 11:14 a.m.

In Response To: Today's OLM - two decisions! (Stick)

Bar/21 24/21 and pass if you double.

The pass looks obvious. If we don't hit, you escape with 20 rolls and get an equity of at least 1 with gammons compensating losses. That means we would need to be clearly favorites if you dont escape to have a take. We are quite far from that. If we hit, you have about 20 escaping or hitting rolls as well. Hits are devastating and dances or 5-1 seem inadequate compensation.

Since I wouldn't have played on from your side before with one man still behind the blockade, and our (cubeless) position improved, I would try the low-volatility play in case it entices you to offer another free roll.

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