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41S-21S-65@-33, rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 4 July 2011, at 9:34 p.m.

In Response To: 41S-21S-65@-33 (Marty Storer)

For those interested, the top five or six plays of Tommy's interesting fourth roll position (41S-21S-65@-33) are very close:


1O1O ' ' '5X '3X1X ' '4O

' ' ' ' '5O2X3O ' '1O4X

41S-21S-65@-33


# Ply Move Equity
• 1 R 8/5(2) 6/3(2) -0.230
44.3 11.5 0.4- 55.7 13.8 0.6 -0.140 -0.230
0.0 0.0 0.0- 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.001 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 886647745 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 23/20 11/5 8/5 -0.234 ( -0.004)
44.4 9.1 0.3- 55.6 12.1 0.4 -0.142 -0.234
0.0 0.0 0.0- 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.001 0.002
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 886647745 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 23/20 8/5 6/3(2) -0.238 ( -0.008)
44.4 10.3 0.4- 55.6 13.7 0.6 -0.148 -0.238
0.0 0.0 0.0- 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.001 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 886647745 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 24/21 11/5 8/5 -0.242 ( -0.012)
44.1 9.3 0.3- 55.9 12.7 0.4 -0.153 -0.242
0.0 0.0 0.0- 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.001 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 886647745 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 R 13/10(2) 6/3(2) -0.243 ( -0.013)
44.2 10.6 0.4- 55.8 13.5 0.5 -0.147 -0.243
0.0 0.0 0.0- 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.001 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 886647745 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
6 R 24/21 8/5 6/3(2) -0.249 ( -0.019)
44.3 9.8 0.3- 55.7 14.1 0.7 -0.160 -0.249
0.1 0.1 0.0- 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.001 0.003
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
10368 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 886647745 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

This rollout result can be summarized:

    [A M4 Q8 m12 N13 q19] /15****10

Nactations for the plays are explained here, or you can match them up with the rollout shown above.

Nack

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