I did a 10K RO but then my rig crashed and I lost it. It puts 23/22 8/4* ahead a little more than this one indicates. I think what NeilKaz says is correct that this play favors the stronger player more than what this short rollout indicates.
         
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 137 | | 3 point match | pip: 153
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--B-a-DBB---dB---d-d-bAAA-:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:3:10 |
| Blue to play 41 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 23/22 8/4* | eq: -0.550 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 38.31% (G:11.06% B:0.41%)
61.69% (G:17.49% B:1.95%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.567...-0.534) - [54.2%]
Duration: 28 minutes 37 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/20 23/22 | eq: -0.552 (-0.001) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 36.36% (G:9.31% B:0.50%)
63.64% (G:11.75% B:1.09%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.566...-0.538) - [45.8%]
Duration: 26 minutes 55 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross