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52S-55A-4X-C - XG 4ply/XGR+ Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 15 February 2014, at 5:23 a.m.

In Response To: 52S-55A-4X-C? (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 160
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 147
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aB-Ba-C-A---dE---d-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 60.65% (G:29.92% B:0.50%) 60.86% (G:31.07% B:0.48%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 39.35% (G:9.60% B:0.46%) 39.14% (G:9.82% B:0.50%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.417 +0.859
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.557±0.004 (+0.554..+0.561)
Double/Take:+0.548 (-0.009)±0.005 (+0.543..+0.554)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.443)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 1.9%
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 78727753
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
 
Double Decision confidence:99.7%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 days 11 hours 38 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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