As we see and could suspect D is not right here, but U also is doing poorly. I have never felt U was correct here vs WC level competition since at this score the trailer can just bang away. If U does better 3 ply it may be because I think XG may blitz better on 4 ply or simply handle the complications better when the attack doesn't get anywhere. Anyhow, these decisions are close.
Z,S and U have been extended to 10k while there's no need to roll out D further.
        
    
        
 |  is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 167 | 2 point match
Crawford | pip: 167
score: 1
 is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:43:1:0:1:2:10 |
| to play 43 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/21 13/9 | eq: -0.271 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.28% (G:17.44% B:2.65%)
50.72% (G:12.90% B:1.61%) | Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.275...-0.267)
Duration: 5 hours 36 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/20 13/10 | eq: -0.273 (-0.002) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.22% (G:16.78% B:2.89%)
50.78% (G:12.95% B:1.48%) | Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.277...-0.269)
Duration: 5 hours 52 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/21 24/20 | eq: -0.279 (-0.008) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.18% (G:15.63% B:2.35%)
50.82% (G:13.19% B:1.41%) | Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.283...-0.275)
Duration: 5 hours 38 minutes |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 13/10 13/9 | eq: -0.288 (-0.017) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.22% (G:18.49% B:3.13%)
50.78% (G:13.66% B:2.12%) | Conf: ± 0.004 (-0.292...-0.284)
Duration: 5 hours 31 minutes |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 87427665
Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross