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GNU-bg RO
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: Crawford Backgame (Ian Dunstan)
Date: Sunday, 24 June 2007, at 1:54 a.m.
Looks close for 2nd, but not for 1st.
It's the backgammons. Note the hitting plays do as well (actually a bit better, within uncertainty) as the 24/23 play. But at this score the fraction extra wins isn't enough to overcome the BG losses.
The score (after 0 games) is: JellyFish 4, Player2 10 (match to 11 points, Crawford game)
Move number 5: Player2 to play 41
Pip counts: JellyFish 126, Player2 187
Position ID: 2G40gwBoTzCANQ Match ID: 8AlmAUAAUAAA
• Player2 moves 8/7*/3
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 24/23 8/4 -0.3808
0.3316 0.0610 0.0078 - 0.6684 0.3225 0.0117 -0.3807 0.0027 0.0048 0.0018 - 0.0027 0.0034 0.0016 0.0060 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1056 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062309141 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 2 R 8/7*/3 -0.4121 ( -0.0314)
0.3372 0.0464 0.0098 - 0.6628 0.4106 0.0373 -0.4121 0.0029 0.0021 0.0013 - 0.0029 0.0033 0.0023 0.0069 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 2961 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062309141 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 23/22 8/4 -0.4194 (0.0387)
0.3175 0.0579 0.0081 - 0.6825 0.3324 0.0187 -0.4194 0.0027 0.0043 0.0022 - 0.0027 0.0035 0.0019 0.0063 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1056 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062309141 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 R 8/7* 6/2 -0.4231 ( -0.0424)
0.3381 0.0447 0.0061 - 0.6619 0.4273 0.0457 -0.4231 0.0035 0.0023 0.0009 - 0.0035 0.0041 0.0037 0.0098 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 2961 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1062309141 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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