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Chouette Cubage from Novi

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Monday, 16 July 2007, at 4:51 p.m.

In Response To: Chouette Cubage from Novi (Stick)

Sure looks like a solid take. (6-5 and 6-6 leave an immediate direct shot.) If White keeps the 11-point then Blue's 6-6 isn't so good (as it otherwise would be in 20-point holding games) but I don't think that comes close to compensating.

There are some market losers but the stripped 6-point is enough to sour me on the cube. 3-1 played 11/8, 11/10 isn't even a market loser (I don't think).

In Woolsey's Cube Reference Positions he notes that the less than perfect homeboard for trailer isn't such a big deal. So I don't feel that helps White so much (but a little).

The bottom line is that clearing either (but not both) of the 11- or 10-point still gives Blue a take (or very close to it in certain rolls that clear the 11-point) that White should wait here, IMO.

N+T.

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