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51S-42P-32 — Cubeless Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Thursday, 15 November 2012, at 9:03 a.m.

In Response To: 51S-42P-32 — Analysis and Rollout (Taper_Mike)

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		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 161 Unlimited Game pip: 161 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-D---eD---b-d-b-AA-:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:0:0
Blue to play 32

1.	Rollout1	13/8	eq: -0.1808
	Player: Opponent: 44.16% (G:12.00% B:0.57%) 55.84% (G:18.27% B:0.70%) Conf.: ±0.0011 (-0.1820...-0.1797) - [83.1%] Duration: 2 hours 56 minutes
2.	Rollout1	23/20 13/11	eq: -0.1816 (-0.0008)
	Player: Opponent: 44.19% (G:12.19% B:0.69%) 55.81% (G:18.51% B:0.91%) Conf.: ±0.0012 (-0.1828...-0.1804) - [16.8%] Duration: 3 hours 16 minutes
3.	Rollout1	24/22 23/20	eq: -0.1833 (-0.0025)
	Player: Opponent: 44.53% (G:10.98% B:0.54%) 55.47% (G:18.28% B:0.64%) Conf.: ±0.0011 (-0.1844...-0.1821) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 11 minutes
4.	Rollout1	24/22 13/10	eq: -0.1892 (-0.0084)
	Player: Opponent: 43.85% (G:12.02% B:0.59%) 56.15% (G:18.38% B:0.85%) Conf.: ±0.0012 (-0.1904...-0.1881) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 09 minutes
5.	Rollout2	13/11 13/10	eq: -0.2020 (-0.0211)
	Player: Opponent: 43.60% (G:12.76% B:0.68%) 56.40% (G:19.56% B:1.28%) Conf.: ±0.0025 (-0.2044...-0.1995) - [0.0%] Duration: 47 minutes 30 seconds
6.	Rollout2	23/18	eq: -0.2114 (-0.0306)
	Player: Opponent: 44.02% (G:11.38% B:0.59%) 55.98% (G:20.40% B:0.76%) Conf.: ±0.0024 (-0.2138...-0.2091) - [0.0%] Duration: 46 minutes 31 seconds
1 41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 29912410 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 29912410 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike 2012-Nov-13 eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03 51S-42P-32-n-(cubeless)-tm.xgp [d S1 V2 Z8 D21 U31] "<=41***10

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

For this rollout, I set the “Maximum Cube Value” to “Cubeless,” and then removed the checkmark from the Jacoby checkbox. Interestingly, d = down (13/8), which builds a tower on the 8pt, has jumped to the top position. Tied is S = Split (23/20, 13/11), only 0.0008 behind. V = Variant up (24/22, 23/20), the play that comes out on top of the unlimited games rollout, has dropped to third. These results tend to support Daniel’s notion that, for practical purposes, V and S are tied in unlimited games. This in spite of the fact that a strict application of the Ballard/Weaver error scale has S “very close” rather than “tied.” Mike

Messages In This Thread

• 51S-42P-32 — Two clunkers in a row...
  Taper_Mike -- Friday, 9 November 2012, at 1:13 a.m.
  • 51S-42P-32 — Two clunkers in a row...
    konstantin -- Friday, 9 November 2012, at 12:54 p.m.
  • 51S-42P-32 — Two clunkers in a row...
    Stick -- Friday, 9 November 2012, at 6:09 p.m.
  • 51S-42P-32 — Two clunkers in a row...
    Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 9 November 2012, at 7:10 p.m.
  • 51S-42P-32 — Analysis and Rollout
    Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 11 November 2012, at 12:42 a.m.
    • 51S-42P-32 — Analysis and Rollout
      Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 11 November 2012, at 4:22 a.m.
      • 51S-42P-32 — Analysis and Rollout
        Taper_Mike -- Monday, 12 November 2012, at 4:08 a.m.
        • 51S-42P-32 — Effective DMP Rollout
          Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 15 November 2012, at 8:46 a.m.
        • 51S-42P-32 — Cubeless Rollout
          Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 15 November 2012, at 9:03 a.m.