Game number 1

The score (after 0 games) is: kit&stick 0, ed&howard 0 (match to 19 points)

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Move number 1: ed&howard to play 43

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: kit&stick 167, ed&howard 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: cAluAgAAAAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/10 13/9

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/10 13/9	+0.0487
			0.5072 0.1567 0.0069 - 0.4928 0.1349 0.0061
	2	2	24/20 13/10	+0.0429 ( -0.0058)
			0.5108 0.1408 0.0070 - 0.4892 0.1324 0.0046
	3	2	24/21 13/9	+0.0410 ( -0.0076)
			0.5098 0.1437 0.0072 - 0.4902 0.1349 0.0046
	4	2	24/21 24/20	+0.0108 ( -0.0378)
			0.5061 0.1258 0.0069 - 0.4939 0.1319 0.0040

Move number 2: kit&stick to play 53

Pip counts: kit&stick 167, ed&howard 160
Position ID: 4HPFATDgc/ABMA Match ID: MIFuAgAAAAAA

• kit&stick moves 24/16*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/16*	+0.1868
			0.5497 0.1572 0.0105 - 0.4503 0.1302 0.0042
	2	2	8/3 6/3	-0.1321 ( -0.3189)
			0.4719 0.1377 0.0072 - 0.5281 0.1755 0.0093
	3	0	24/21 13/8	-0.1698 ( -0.3565)
			0.4635 0.1218 0.0066 - 0.5365 0.1734 0.0056
	4	0	13/10 13/8	-0.1707 ( -0.3574)
			0.4574 0.1307 0.0069 - 0.5426 0.1653 0.0089

Move number 3: ed&howard to play 63

Pip counts: kit&stick 159, ed&howard 176
Position ID: 4HPwESDgc+IAWA Match ID: cAlvAgAAAAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/22 10/4

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/22 10/4	-0.2637
			0.4323 0.1221 0.0041 - 0.5677 0.1650 0.0099
	2	2	bar/22 24/18	-0.3051 ( -0.0413)
			0.4301 0.1132 0.0042 - 0.5699 0.1823 0.0100
	3	2	bar/16	-0.3229 ( -0.0591)
			0.4232 0.1103 0.0038 - 0.5768 0.1757 0.0111
	4	2	bar/22 13/7	-0.3795 ( -0.1158)
			0.4142 0.1127 0.0041 - 0.5858 0.1940 0.0159

Move number 4: kit&stick to play 51

Pip counts: kit&stick 159, ed&howard 167
Position ID: yOfgADLgc/ARIA Match ID: MIFmAgAAAAAA

• kit&stick moves 16/10

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	16/10	+0.1245
			0.5389 0.1438 0.0079 - 0.4611 0.1392 0.0039
	2	2	24/23 16/11	+0.1197 ( -0.0048)
			0.5408 0.1439 0.0088 - 0.4592 0.1481 0.0041
	3	2	16/11 6/5	+0.0898 ( -0.0347)
			0.5343 0.1456 0.0089 - 0.4657 0.1536 0.0067
	4	2	13/8 6/5	+0.0576 ( -0.0670)
			0.5274 0.1464 0.0089 - 0.4726 0.1630 0.0070

Move number 5: ed&howard to play 42

Pip counts: kit&stick 153, ed&howard 167
Position ID: 4HPiAyDI5+AAMg Match ID: cAlqAgAAAAAA

• ed&howard moves 24/22 8/4

Ply

Move

Equity

22/18 6/4

-0.1219

0.4630	0.1349	0.0045	-	0.5370	0.1336	0.0062	-0.0744	-0.1219
0.0016	0.0018	0.0005	-	0.0016	0.0018	0.0004	0.0039	0.0102

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056040618 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

24/20 22/20

-0.1482 ( -0.0263)

0.4607	0.1231	0.0035	-	0.5393	0.1196	0.0048	-0.0765	-0.1482
0.0017	0.0017	0.0004	-	0.0017	0.0017	0.0005	0.0042	0.0104

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056040618 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

•

24/22 8/4

-0.1510 ( -0.0291)

0.4524	0.1286	0.0034	-	0.5476	0.1178	0.0047	-0.0854	-0.1510
0.0016	0.0016	0.0002	-	0.0016	0.0018	0.0005	0.0040	0.0099

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056040618 and quasi-random dice

Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

24/20 6/4

-0.1096 ( +0.0124)

0.4656 0.1362 0.0042 - 0.5344 0.1387 0.0053

Annotation

Making the three point anchor isn't a high priority here. The six point is still heavy and rather than strip the eight point to cover I felt that covering with the two was clear. After playing 6/4 with the deuce the best four is 22/18, coming out to challenge us on our bar point while they have the better board. It stays off the point we'd most like to make, the five point, and distracts us to an extent. Certain rolls may now be used to hit instead of make an inner board point.

Move number 6: kit&stick to play 66

Pip counts: kit&stick 153, ed&howard 161
Position ID: mM/gACbgc+IDIA Match ID: MAF7AgAAAAAA

• kit&stick moves 24/18 13/7(3)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/18 13/7(3)	+0.2762
			0.5841 0.1342 0.0039 - 0.4159 0.1160 0.0018
	2	2	13/1*(2)	+0.1955 ( -0.0807)
			0.5509 0.1642 0.0035 - 0.4491 0.1272 0.0023
	3	2	13/7(3) 10/4	+0.1382 ( -0.1380)
			0.5462 0.1391 0.0043 - 0.4538 0.1370 0.0028
	4	2	13/1* 13/7(2)	+0.1160 ( -0.1602)
			0.5381 0.1470 0.0041 - 0.4619 0.1425 0.0037

Move number 7: ed&howard to play 42

Pip counts: kit&stick 129, ed&howard 161
Position ID: 4LsTgwCYz+AAJg Match ID: cAlqAgAAAAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/7*

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/7*	-0.2637
			0.4219 0.1233 0.0019 - 0.5781 0.1407 0.0041
	2	2	24/20 22/20	-0.5136 ( -0.2500)
			0.3532 0.0687 0.0010 - 0.6468 0.0959 0.0013
	3	2	24/20 6/4	-0.6467 ( -0.3830)
			0.3304 0.0682 0.0009 - 0.6696 0.1294 0.0030
	4	2	24/20 13/11	-0.6837 ( -0.4200)
			0.3332 0.0746 0.0012 - 0.6668 0.1700 0.0050

Move number 8: kit&stick to play 54

Pip counts: kit&stick 136, ed&howard 155
Position ID: mK/BACbguxMDQA Match ID: MIFyAgAAAAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/16

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/16	+0.3657
			0.6096 0.1264 0.0040 - 0.3904 0.1064 0.0017
	2	2	bar/20 10/6	+0.2226 ( -0.1431)
			0.5669 0.1408 0.0046 - 0.4331 0.1201 0.0016
	3	0	bar/20 6/2	+0.0199 ( -0.3458)
			0.5177 0.1450 0.0056 - 0.4823 0.1737 0.0036
	4	0	bar/20 8/4	-0.0722 ( -0.4379)
			0.4967 0.1390 0.0054 - 0.5033 0.1907 0.0051

Move number 9: ed&howard to play 51

Pip counts: kit&stick 127, ed&howard 155
Position ID: 4LsTIwCYr8EAJg Match ID: cIlmAgAAAAAA

• ed&howard moves 8/3 6/5

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.320)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/3 6/5	-0.6889
			0.3148 0.0706 0.0007 - 0.6852 0.1338 0.0064
	2	2	7/2 6/5	-0.7588 ( -0.0699)
			0.2971 0.0640 0.0006 - 0.7029 0.1252 0.0040
	3	2	6/5 6/1	-0.7840 ( -0.0950)
			0.2971 0.0661 0.0006 - 0.7029 0.1421 0.0054
	4	2	8/7 8/3	-0.7840 ( -0.0950)
			0.2939 0.0608 0.0005 - 0.7061 0.1312 0.0035

Move number 10: kit&stick to play 31

Pip counts: kit&stick 127, ed&howard 149
Position ID: tF7BACbguxMjAA Match ID: MIFlAgAAAAAA

• kit&stick moves 8/5 6/5

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.4416	(Money: +0.4394)
	0.6852 0.1338 0.0064 - 0.3148 0.0706 0.0007
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.6889
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.3111
3.	Double, take	+0.6746	-0.0144
Proper cube action:		No double, take (4.4%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/5 6/5	+0.8537
			0.7103 0.1681 0.0092 - 0.2897 0.0718 0.0013
	2	2	16/13 8/7	+0.5574 ( -0.2963)
			0.6664 0.1089 0.0046 - 0.3336 0.0674 0.0008
	3	2	16/13 7/6	+0.4842 ( -0.3695)
			0.6471 0.1118 0.0048 - 0.3529 0.0744 0.0009
	4	0	16/13 10/9	+0.3550 ( -0.4988)
			0.6105 0.1226 0.0040 - 0.3895 0.1013 0.0012

Move number 11: ed&howard to play 41

Pip counts: kit&stick 123, ed&howard 149
Position ID: sHcTIwC0XsEAJg Match ID: cAlmAgAAAAAA

• ed&howard moves 13/9* 6/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	13/9* 6/5	-0.5670
			0.3822 0.1307 0.0022 - 0.6178 0.2765 0.0322
	2	0	7/3 6/5	-0.9050 ( -0.3379)
			0.2626 0.0511 0.0002 - 0.7374 0.1083 0.0024
	3	0	8/4 6/5	-1.0000 ( -0.4330)
			0.2484 0.0464 0.0002 - 0.7516 0.1234 0.0031
	4	0	8/3	-1.0000 ( -0.4330)
			0.2446 0.0445 0.0002 - 0.7554 0.1244 0.0028

Move number 12: kit&stick to play 62

Pip counts: kit&stick 132, ed&howard 144
Position ID: tF2FACawdxMDQA Match ID: MAFrAgAAAAAA

• kit&stick moves bar/17*

Alert: missed double ( -0.0220)!

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.4195	(Money: +0.4131)
	0.6141 0.2772 0.0340 - 0.3859 0.1241 0.0022
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.5738
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.4262
3.	No double	+0.5518	-0.0220
Proper cube action:		Double, take

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0.337)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/17*	+0.8655
			0.7058 0.2726 0.0196 - 0.2942 0.0795 0.0018
	2	0	bar/23 7/1*	+0.1818 ( -0.6837)
			0.5457 0.2263 0.0192 - 0.4543 0.1993 0.0081
	3	0	bar/23 10/4	-0.1410 ( -1.0065)
			0.4815 0.1607 0.0098 - 0.5185 0.2349 0.0063
	4	0	bar/23 13/7	-0.1674 ( -1.0329)
			0.4711 0.1541 0.0094 - 0.5289 0.2227 0.0079

Move number 13: ed&howard to play 42

Pip counts: kit&stick 124, ed&howard 161
Position ID: sHcTQwC0XUIAUw Match ID: cAlqAgAAAAAA

• ed&howard moves bar/23 13/9

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/23 13/9	-1.0000
			0.2308 0.0404 0.0004 - 0.7692 0.2267 0.0092
	2	2	bar/21 9/7	-1.0000 ( +0.0000)
			0.2608 0.0515 0.0013 - 0.7392 0.3289 0.0215
	3	2	bar/23 7/3	-1.0050 ( -0.0050)
			0.2507 0.0444 0.0004 - 0.7493 0.2800 0.0178
	4	2	bar/21 13/11	-1.0202 ( -0.0202)
			0.2671 0.0636 0.0019 - 0.7329 0.3773 0.0474

Move number 14: kit&stick doubles to 2

Pip counts: kit&stick 124, ed&howard 155
Position ID: tF0GACuwdxNDAA Match ID: MBlgAgAAAAAA

• ed&howard rejects

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.7396	(Money: +0.7336)
	0.7692 0.2267 0.0092 - 0.2308 0.0404 0.0004
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.3373	+0.3373
3.	No double	+0.9953	-0.0047
Proper cube action:		Double, pass

kit&stick wins 1 point

Game statistics for game 1
Player	kit&stick	ed&howard
Checker play statistics
Total moves	6	7
Unforced moves	6	7
Unmarked moves	0	0
Moves marked good	6	7
Moves marked doubtful	0	0
Moves marked bad	0	0
Moves marked very bad	0	0
Error rate (total)	+0.000	-0.029 ( -0.099%)
Error rate (per move)	+0.00	-4.15 ( -0.014%)
Chequerplay rating	Supernatural	World class
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky	0	0
Rolls marked lucky	1	0
Rolls unmarked	5	6
Rolls marked unlucky	0	1
Rolls marked very unlucky	0	0
Luck rate (total)	+0.518 ( +1.761%)	-0.314 ( -1.068%)
Luck rate (per move)	+86.32 ( +0.294%)	-44.86 ( -0.153%)
Luck rating	Go to Las Vegas immediately	Better luck next time
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions	7	7
Close or actual cube decisions	3	1
Doubles	1	0
Takes	0	0
Passes	0	1
Missed doubles (below CP)	1 (-0.022 ( -0.075%))	0
Missed doubles (above CP)	0	0
Wrong doubles (below DP)	0	0
Wrong doubles (above TG)	0	0
Wrong takes	0	0
Wrong passes	0	0
Error rate (total)	-0.022 ( -0.075%)	+0.000
Error rate (per cube decision)	-7.32 ( -0.025%)	+0.00
Cube decision rating	Expert	Supernatural
Overall statistics
Error rate (total)	-0.022 ( -0.075%)	-0.029 ( -0.099%)
Error rate (per decision)	-2.44 ( -0.008%)	-3.63 ( -0.012%)
Equiv. Snowie error rate	-1.69	-2.23
Overall rating	World class	World class
Actual result	+3.40%	-3.40%
Luck adjusted result	+0.57%	-0.57%

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Output generated Wed Mar 26 17:50:45 2008 by GNU Backgammon 0.16-mingw (HTML Export version 1.172)