Whenever you lose a match there is nearly always a doubling decision you regret. In Paul Weaver's case it may well be when he dropped Fabio Gullota's double when Paul was leading 21-19.
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| XGID=aaABB-B-a---cD--Ab-e-bA-B-:0:0:1:00:19:21:0:23:10 | ||||
 on roll, cube action? | ||||
is Paul Weaver| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 54.37% (G:22.10% B:2.38%) | 54.85% (G:22.31% B:3.66%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 45.63% (G:17.68% B:3.86%) | 45.15% (G:18.64% B:4.44%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.026 | +0.863 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No double: | +0.640 (-0.223) | ±0.012 (+0.628..+0.652) |
| Double/Take: | +0.863 | ±0.015 (+0.848..+0.878) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.137) | |
| Best Cube action: Double / Take | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Duration: 1 hour 11 minutes | ||
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2
XG2 has this a clear take and I think that was the view of most of those watching yesterday afternnon. Yes its scary but PG only has a three point board and limited checkers in the attack zone. Despite the efficiency of the double due to the score dropping is a 0.137 error.
For money this position is no double/beaver.