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XG2 on drugs

Posted By: christian munk-christensen
Date: Saturday, 19 November 2011, at 10:36 p.m.

Line up a genuine 4 roll vs 4 roll position with player A owning the cube at 2.

Player A leads 11-8/17.

Note how the equities change significantly if you check the cube action on the different plies and rollout.

XG++ thinks it's a recube (-0,070 not to recube) and a proper rollout thinks it's a no double (-0,048 to recube).

All plies and rollouts recognize that the game winning chance is 74,53% so why does the conclusion change so much?

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