I played the obvious 13/9, but did look at lifting the eight point. I figured getting builders for the four point was more important, though.
The right play definitely wasn't on my radar, but I like how it looks.
If you cover whites blot 13/9 is the right play and 7/6 becomes a blunder.
| | White is XG Roller
score: 0 pip: 149 | 17 point match | pip: 82 score: 0
Blue is Michael | |
XGID=aBbC-BCBB---bA---aacabb---:1:-1:1:31:0:0:0:17:10 |
Blue to play 31 |
1. | Rollout1 | 13/10 7/6 | eq: +0.615 |
| Player: Opponent: | 70.56% (G:33.24% B:1.34%) 29.44% (G:3.06% B:0.12%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.608...+0.622) - [100.0%] Duration: 15 minutes 26 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 13/9 | eq: +0.572 (-0.043) |
| Player: Opponent: | 70.09% (G:29.85% B:0.96%) 29.91% (G:3.28% B:0.14%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.564...+0.579) - [0.0%] Duration: 14 minutes 18 seconds |
|
3. | Rollout1 | 13/10 6/5 | eq: +0.570 (-0.044) |
| Player: Opponent: | 69.65% (G:31.04% B:1.12%) 30.35% (G:3.45% B:0.12%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.563...+0.578) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 21 seconds |
|
4. | Rollout1 | 8/7 8/5 | eq: +0.561 (-0.054) |
| Player: Opponent: | 69.23% (G:31.08% B:1.21%) 30.77% (G:3.34% B:0.12%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.553...+0.569) - [0.0%] Duration: 13 minutes 51 seconds |
|
5. | Rollout1 | 13/10 8/7 | eq: +0.511 (-0.104) |
| Player: Opponent: | 67.87% (G:30.52% B:1.06%) 32.13% (G:4.12% B:0.16%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.503...+0.519) - [0.0%] Duration: 16 minutes 39 seconds |
|
6. | XG Roller+ | 8/4 | eq: +0.265 (-0.350) |
| Player: Opponent: | 58.57% (G:31.93% B:1.77%) 41.43% (G:11.83% B:0.77%) | |
|
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1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross