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Rollout

Posted By: Michael Nielsen
Date: Sunday, 20 November 2011, at 9:58 a.m.

In Response To: 31 to play (Michael Nielsen)

I played the obvious 13/9, but did look at lifting the eight point. I figured getting builders for the four point was more important, though.

The right play definitely wasn't on my radar, but I like how it looks.

If you cover whites blot 13/9 is the right play and 7/6 becomes a blunder.





White is XG Roller

score: 0
pip: 149
17 point match
pip: 82
score: 0

Blue is Michael
XGID=aBbC-BCBB---bA---aacabb---:1:-1:1:31:0:0:0:17:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout113/10 7/6eq: +0.615
Player:
Opponent:
70.56% (G:33.24% B:1.34%)
29.44% (G:3.06% B:0.12%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.608...+0.622) - [100.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 26 seconds
2.Rollout113/9eq: +0.572 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:
70.09% (G:29.85% B:0.96%)
29.91% (G:3.28% B:0.14%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.564...+0.579) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 18 seconds
3.Rollout113/10 6/5eq: +0.570 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:
69.65% (G:31.04% B:1.12%)
30.35% (G:3.45% B:0.12%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.563...+0.578) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 21 seconds
4.Rollout18/7 8/5eq: +0.561 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:
69.23% (G:31.08% B:1.21%)
30.77% (G:3.34% B:0.12%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.553...+0.569) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 51 seconds
5.Rollout113/10 8/7eq: +0.511 (-0.104)
Player:
Opponent:
67.87% (G:30.52% B:1.06%)
32.13% (G:4.12% B:0.16%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.503...+0.519) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 39 seconds
6.XG Roller+8/4eq: +0.265 (-0.350)
Player:
Opponent:
58.57% (G:31.93% B:1.77%)
41.43% (G:11.83% B:0.77%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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