63W-32-d Rollout

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63W-32-d Rollout

Posted By: Ian Shaw
Date: Wednesday, 4 January 2012, at 2:36 p.m.

In Response To: 63W-32-d (Nack Ballard)

It's TCTC after 10k trials. Five plays are still in contention (within 2 jsd).
Gnubg 2-ply and David preferred 6/1*, but it has slipped into 2nd on rollout, behind Nacks's 13/10 6/4. My 24/22 13/10 is further back, behind even 24/21 13/11 which gives White good 4s.
I've nactated 13/10 6/4 with $, but shouldn't that that technically be 13/11 8/5, which is by no means hopeless?
158

63W-32-d [$ H2 S3 U4 W6 Z17 d34] /10****2 167
Position ID: 0GfwQSDgc/ABMA Match ID: cIkpAAAAAAAE

# Ply Move Equity

1 R 13/10 6/4 -0.0974

0.4513 0.1532 0.0296 - 0.5487 0.2289 0.0582 -0.0974

0.0013 0.0020 0.0014 - 0.0013 0.0023 0.0019 0.0025

Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at one-sided bearoff) with var.redn.

10368 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 908200706 and quasi-random dice

Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3 (min. 2584 games)

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

2 R 6/1* -0.0996 ( -0.0022)

0.4502 0.1745 0.0222 - 0.5498 0.2155 0.0523 -0.0996

0.0012 0.0020 0.0012 - 0.0012 0.0023 0.0018 0.0024

Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at one-sided bearoff) with var.redn.

10368 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 908200706 and quasi-random dice

Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3 (min. 2584 games)

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

3 R 24/21 13/11 -0.1002 ( -0.0028)

0.4499 0.1407 0.0244 - 0.5501 0.2148 0.0445 -0.1002

0.0010 0.0019 0.0012 - 0.0010 0.0022 0.0016 0.0021

Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at one-sided bearoff) with var.redn.

10368 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 908200706 and quasi-random dice

Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3 (min. 2584 games)

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

4 R 24/22 24/21 -0.1014 ( -0.0040)

0.4493 0.1284 0.0206 - 0.5507 0.2027 0.0300 -0.1014

0.0009 0.0018 0.0011 - 0.0009 0.0022 0.0013 0.0017

Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at one-sided bearoff) with var.redn.

10368 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 908200706 and quasi-random dice

Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3 (min. 2584 games)

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

5 R 24/21 6/4 -0.1030 ( -0.0056)

0.4485 0.1397 0.0245 - 0.5515 0.2261 0.0447 -0.1030

0.0010 0.0019 0.0013 - 0.0010 0.0023 0.0016 0.0021

Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at one-sided bearoff) with var.redn.

10257 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 908200706 and quasi-random dice

Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3 (min. 2584 games)

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

• 6 R 24/22 13/10 -0.1143 ( -0.0169)

0.4429 0.1353 0.0213 - 0.5571 0.2261 0.0426 -0.1143

0.0018 0.0036 0.0021 - 0.0018 0.0045 0.0029 0.0036

Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at one-sided bearoff) with var.redn.

2588 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 908200706 and quasi-random dice

Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3 (min. 2584 games)

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

7 R 13/8 -0.1315 ( -0.0341)

0.4343 0.1383 0.0192 - 0.5657 0.2146 0.0377 -0.1315

0.0022 0.0037 0.0022 - 0.0022 0.0046 0.0031 0.0044

Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at one-sided bearoff) with var.redn.

2587 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 908200706 and quasi-random dice

Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3 (min. 2584 games)

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

	158

63W-32-d [$ H2 S3 U4 W6 Z17 d34] /10****2	167
Position ID: `0GfwQSDgc/ABMA` Match ID: `cIkpAAAAAAAE`

Messages In This Thread

DMP 63W-32?
Ian Shaw -- Tuesday, 3 January 2012, at 3:55 p.m.
- DMP 63W-32?
  David Rockwell -- Tuesday, 3 January 2012, at 4:23 p.m.
- 63W-32-d
  Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 4 January 2012, at 1:41 a.m.
  - 63W-32-d Rollout
    Ian Shaw -- Wednesday, 4 January 2012, at 2:36 p.m.
    - 63W-32-d Rollout
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 4 January 2012, at 8:50 p.m.
  - 63W-32-d --- XG rollout
    Petter Bengtsson -- Thursday, 5 January 2012, at 6:41 a.m.
- 61&-32, 63&-32, 61W-32, 63W-32
  Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 4 January 2012, at 2:11 a.m.
  - 61&-32, 63&-32, 61W-32, 63W-32
    Ian Shaw -- Wednesday, 4 January 2012, at 1:13 p.m.
    - 61&-32, 63&-32, 61W-32, 63W-32
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 4 January 2012, at 8:17 p.m.
      - 61&-32, 63&-32, 61W-32, 63W-32
        Ian Shaw -- Wednesday, 4 January 2012, at 8:42 p.m.
  - 63&-32, rollout
    Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 5 January 2012, at 3:10 a.m.
  - 61&-32, rollout
    Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 5 January 2012, at 3:17 a.m.
  - 63W-32, rollout
    Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 5 January 2012, at 5:27 a.m.
  - 61W-32, rollout
    Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 5 January 2012, at 6:20 a.m.
  - 61&-32, 63&-32, 61W-32, 63W-32: Data summary
    Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 5 January 2012, at 6:42 a.m.
    - Additional data
      Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 5 January 2012, at 7:13 a.m.
    - Methinks Nack meant W = Wild (24/21 6/4).
      Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 12 January 2012, at 7:26 a.m.

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